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Showing posts with label MellowYellow. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MellowYellow. Show all posts

Friday, December 31, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 22, 2010

December 22, 2010

I've never gone and setup Camtasia Sad i was planning on making a 24 tabling vid AGES ago and just never did.

Hell maybe i should try and stop when i'm only about 5 vpps away and we can play on the same table? 

Only problem is, it wouldn't be that dramatic as it wont change from Red to black stars on the table SadI'd have to leave and come back.  So hmm might be a bit anti climatic.

Anyway I am closing in on being under 10,000 to go!  probably another 20 minutes or so.  It's getting awful close now.  I just switched back to 100nl from 200nl tho.  I've been running REALLY well in terms of EV at 200 but really terrible in terms of cards, I keep running into AA or KK when I have Queens and AK and a lot of the times when i keep going after the fish they will river some gutshot or something and get it allin, so my ev is like below 500 today but I'm actually UP about 500 at 200nl today, So after just having a big up and downswing of $400 in about 10 minutes coupled with the fact that I'm only getting .32 vpps/hand at 200nl today (WTF!) I decided to move back to 100.

Why risk double the money vs. better opponents for only 20% more vpps?

This last week or 2 has gone pretty well.. I think with today I will be running good through the past 10 days but even before today despite running a bit below ev most days I had been turning an average of about $200 or so profit per day with a few small losing days mixed in (though Poker Table Ratings doesn't agree for some reason).

I tried to make a worst case estimation of what my BR would be like once I ended the year about 2 weeks ago.  I figured at worst I might lose another 2k, i figured even with this once i got my SNE bonus packages and all I'd still have an ok amount to start grinding next year on my own without having to get any backing (or more accurately a loan with guaranteed payback, since Im not going to get staked when Im already SNE) but so far I've actually profited close to 1k and Im now only 2 full days away, so unless I have the 2 consecutive worst days of 100nl I should be well ahead of my projection and feeling pretty safe starting out the year with my BR.

I hope I can at least break even the next 2 days, it would be nice to have one of my 'worst case' scenarios not come true since they usually nearly have been lately Smile

December 24, 2010

NO!!!!  Epic Fail.   I had .94 to go,

I went to a .5/.10 table HU and the first hand I flopped the nut flush and the guy bet into me, I figured about .33 rake would be all i needed, the damn guy jammed on me on the river and I called and it jumped from .13 rake to .39 or so and pushed me over !!! arrrgh LOL i was trying to get to 999,999.99
Damn that donk, what the hell lol

and

The black stars Very Happy
WOOHOO

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 22, 2010

December 22, 2010

Ive never gone and setup Camtasia Sad i was planning on making a 24 tabling vid AGES ago and just never did.

Hell maybe i should try and stop when I'm only about 5 vpps away and we can play on the same table?  Only problem is, it wouldn't be that dramatic as it wont change from Red to black stars on the table SadI'd have to leave and come back.  So hmm might be a bit anti climatic.

Anyway I am closing in on being under 10,000 to go!  probably another 20 minutes or so.  It's getting awful close now.  I just switched back to 100nl from 200nl tho.  I've been running REALLY well in terms of EV at 200 but really terrible in terms of cards, I keep running into AA or KK when I have Queens and AK and a lot of the times when i keep going after the fish they will river some gutshot or something and get it all-in, so my ev is like below 500 today but I'm actually UP about 500 at 200nl today, So after just having a big up and downswing of $400 in about 10 minutes coupled with the fact that I'm only getting .32 vpps/hand at 200nl today (WTF!) I decided to move back to 100.

Why risk double the money vs. better opponents for only 20% more vpps?

This last week or 2 has gone pretty well.. I think with today I will be running good through the past 10 days but even before today despite running a bit below ev most days I had been turning an average of about $200 or so profit per day with a few small losing days mixed in (though Poker Table Ratings doesnt agree for some reason).

I tried to make a worst case estimation of what my BR would be like once I ended the year about 2 weeks ago.  I figured at worst I might lose another 2k, i figured even with this once i got my SNE bonus packages and all I'd still have an ok amount to start grinding next year on my own without having to get any backing (or more accurately a loan with guaranteed payback, since Im not going to get staked when Im already SNE) but so far I've actually profited close to 1k and Im now only 2 full days away, so unless I have the 2 consecutive worst days of 100nl I should be well ahead of my projection and feeling pretty safe starting out the year with my BR.

I hope I can at least break even the next 2 days, it would be nice to have one of my 'worst case' scenarios not come true since they usually nearly have been lately Smile

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 21, 2010

December 21, 2010

Yeah fpp pro is some site that breaks down being an fpp pro on PokerStars I guess. I've only just gone there once or twice, but it keeps a running total of what 'on pace' is for the day based on getting 1 million by years end.  So it breaks down to a little under 3k/day and it figures it out.  I finally caught up to pace again.

I've got a few more days under my belt, played some more 6max and again had bad results.  I just cant seem to keep it going good for more than an hour or 2.  The last session I played of it I was running just over BE maybe a buyin or 2, then suddenly through either coincidence, lack of focus or just overriding skill over coming variance I started to tank again.  Finished the session down almost 400, and decided that I just can't let myself play it anymore this year unless i want to use it for a final push to hurry up and get this thing, but not in my daily grinds anymore.  I was up quite a bit at 100nl before and then after that tho so it ended up being an ok day.

Then unfortunately, yesterday was football, so of course I ended up getting drunk and not playing much Smile and I stayed the night at my sister in laws house so I didn't get home to start playing til like 4pm or something like that.  I've been grinding almost nonstop though since I got here and was playing some 200nl FR with actually some really good results, I ran good AND had good ev, after today I decided to look back over my results for the last week, and even with the tanks at 200nl 6max I'm actually ahead this week for the first time in a LONG time (probably since doing this damn 14 hour day stuff)  So since I played a lot of 200nl I actually am looking like I'm going to be pretty close to getting my 5k for the day, I'll probably start tomorrow with 979k (4 days left)

Though I'm thinking about trying to play a lot more the next few days and see if I can get done early.  If I can handle 200nl I will probably try to get done in 3 days, but if I end up getting smoked like before then I will just drop back to 100 and finish in 4, either way... it's getting SUPER close Yo!

Yeah if anything I'm taking a few days extra off next year, I'm still not sure when I'm going to be flying back home, but i THINK before new years, in which case i plan on spending a few days at my mom and dad's house, both in WA state so obv no poker.  If I get a little bit of a late start I'm not that worried about it I'm planning on getting about 26k/week or so which is only 5k/day 5 days a week.  In the beginning when the weather still sucks I probably wont have a lot to do in Jan and Feb anyway so if I get a bit of a slow start I will probably be able to catch up anyway since I will probably still play 6 days a week when I'm just sitting around bored.

It is pretty surprising how many people procrastinate to the end like this.  I would have been done ages ago if I didn't decide to move down to 100nl, but some of these other guys just really surprise me.  My backer made it on about Dec 30th or so last year even after getting the 100k vpp bonus for playing in the WSOP from stars, and he is again going to be finishing on about Dec 27th or so and that's with him playing 200 - 600nl every day right now for 6k/month he entered Dec with about 860 or so vpps.  Then another guy on 2+2 megafossil is a mass multitabling DoN player, he entered this month needing over 200k vpps and he is now getting over 10k/day playing tons of DoNs for 13 hours a day, when I see that he is capable of getting this many vpps/hour and /day I wonder how he could get himself so far behind.  It's pretty amazing to me how strong the human will to procrastinate is.

December 22, 2010

Finishing up right now and going to have 15k remaining.  I had a super tough time sleeping last night, didn't go to bed til 5:15 or so and woke up a lot starting at about 8:30 or so, I was having those weird kind of cracked out dreams where you keep waking up but not really, really unrestful sleep. Anyway I think I dreamt about 6 different times that I had made SNE. I think it was the first time it sank in that I really should get this.

I think in the back of my mind I keep thinking something weird will happen that will stop me from making it, and until having some strange dreams that I was already SNE I don't think I ever really had gotten excited before.  I'm pretty excited to see those black stars!  Almost there fellas!

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Monday, December 27, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 3, 2010

December 3, 2010

I wrote a fairly lengthy update 2 days ago on a plane but somehow it didn't update, maybe I closed the computer right after hitting post and didn't give it time.

Anyway I finally broke 900,000 about 2 hours into my session this morning.  Definitely a few days behind where I was hoping for.

It was crazy how bad my luck was while in Indiana for thanksgiving.  I stayed between 3 places:

My Step son's house, with the normal Comcast high-speed cable internet

My sister in laws house (the one featured on MTV cribs I think i posted about) that has super fast internet.

My Mother in laws house with an AT&T cable speed internet

I got some really short sessions in before Thanksgiving which was a bit of a bonus since I wasn't really planning on that, then we stayed 3 days at my Sister in laws.  Despite them having something superior than cable and her having played on PokerStars a ton and me having played on PokerStars from her house before several months ago, for some reason, whenever I connected to PokerStars it would only work for about 1 - 2 minutes than lag for about 10, it was insane and the worst lag I had ever seen, and this was whether i was on wireless OR directly plugged in.  And while it was getting zero connection i could browse at super fast speeds etc, it just made no sense.  So i lost 3 days there.

Then we stayed at my mother in laws house again for the 2nd time, and once again it worked fine, unfortunately we weren't there that long so I got another shorter session in.

Then the last day we were off to my step son's house..  I slept in pretty late before we went so I was FINALLY well rested ( i was having trouble sleeping the whole trip) and was all ready to stay up late and play the last day.  We get there, I'm watching my son play x-box for a few minutes when suddenly he gets disconnected from Xbox live, I go down stairs and his dad and grandpa are watching TV when it goes out... it was at that time we realized their Comcast TV AND internet was down, and they called and determined they had to get a technician out TOMORROW to fix it... And low and behold I couldn't sleep til after 6am with NO way to play... Sad

So I came back with a lot less logged than I had hoped for.  Stayed a day or so in Seattle and now I'm back home.  The only thing is my sister in law offered us(me and Poe) a side job we couldn't refuse but it will take about 3 weeks.  So now on Sunday she is flying us BACK to Indy where we'll be staying til almost new years.

So I have today and 2 more days to grind Vpps, I was hoping to just play ALL 3 days from start to finish as I knew it would be hell but I would be glad to have gotten it done, I'm still doing it, but was hoping to get about 7k vpps/day.  However todays vpp rate has been bad so it looks like only 6k again Sad

Oh well at least at this point I figure the absolute WORST I could go to Indy with even if I get a bit lazy is 915,000 and then that will leave me 17 days at 5k or less if I can get more vpps, so hopefully still on pace to get done before xmas.  We shall see, it's been slow going, if I hadn't gone to Indy for thanksgiving I probably would have about 940,000 or so by now, but it happens, at least I am STILL on pace to be able to make it only playing 100nl FR (yes I went back to FR even though I was really enjoying 6max and felt i was playing good, I kept having terrible sessions and running into what I felt was the top of my opponents ranges over and over and getting smoked so Im more or less just staying at 100 until the end of the year, or maybe til I get real close and just want to get it over with.

but... anyway whining aside, 900k and beyond, next milestone... is IT... SNE!

GL all.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit—November 6, 2010

November 6, 2010

Well as I said in a different part of the forum, PokerStars had some glitches where you could actually play more than 24 tables at once.  I was hoping it was a trial run, but I dont think it was... From what I've heard since...

I kept going because I knew this was a pretty good opportunity for vpps.  I managed to get up to as many as 32 tables.  So I kept playing until I got 7,200 vpps.  This is by far the most I've ever gotten in one day and at only 100nl, I've never even gotten this many playing 200nl but I did put in a really long day.
I guess what happened was a few tables were messed up and didn't count toward your 24 tables, so I managed to find 8 broken ones, it seemed most of them were at 100nl.  They mixed it the next day, I was at 27 for a little while, but they would slowly close the tables for maintenance so I eventually whittled back down 24.  Oh well it was awesome while it lasted, great getting about 500 - 550 vpps at 100nl.

The day was getting so long that I ended up having a few drinks after about 8 or 9 hours straight.  I was getting really bored and sick of playing obviously but after I got a little buzzed I didn't hardly notice.  I just kept going and going.  It's actually what I've been doing the last day or 2, it works pretty well.  And honestly all 3 days in a row, I've gone on pretty good upswings while slightly drunk... or heavily buzzed whichever u want to classify it as Smile

November 19, 2010

Another long day, i took a break in the middle of the day and it made for a VERY long night.
Im still having back and forth sessions.  We have been tweaking our strategy so much lately sometimes it's hard to know what is and isnt working, but it certainly seems to be working well for my backer atm. He's on a 9 day winning streak at 1/2 2/4 and 3/6 short stacking and rat-holing and winning good chunks of cash.

I've been working on the same strat and our stats suggest it is close but somehow I don't seem to have nearly the success he is.  I have been having SLIGHTLY better results though but not good enough imo.
Anyway tho, I hit my 6k again today and even with some delays and slow downs here and there for various reasons, I'm at 877k  I am going to take a quick 4 - 5 hour sleep and get back at it, and then also Saturday.  So that will take me to 889, I'm trying to get to 890 before leaving for thanksgiving for 8 days, and hopefully getting in some hours hear and there while on the trip so when I come back Dec 1st, I'll only have 100k left and can wrap it up in around 3 weeks.

So although things aren't going GREAT, it seems like they are certainly going well enough to where I should be making this, and my backer is doing Really well so there is still hope that I can keep improving and get a bit better myself.  I would love to go back to 200nl and get my 6k vpps in only 10 - 11 hours, but every time I go I seem to just get crushed whether bad luck, bad play or coolers, but I'm just sick of the -$600 hours so I don't know if I'll be going back anytime soon, it's just less stressful putting in longer days, and unfortunately I'm pretty used to it by now Smile

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Saturday, December 25, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—November 1, 2010

November 1, 2010

Well, today marks the end of October, also known as my worst month to date...

However, I also got the most VPPs ever which is pretty cool since I couldn't even start playing in the beginning and had to drive to Las Vegas, spend 3 nights in a room at the Rio, then go to a rental house for 8, THEN fly back home, pack up all my belongings in my house and drive to my new place back and forth, get setup and THEN play poker.

Anyway as the month ends, so too does my stay at 700,000  I hit 800,000 tonight at about 10:15pm
I got about 110,000 this month, and just need to get 100k in each of the two following months.
It's getting awful close now.

And also, another bright point, I had lost so much early on at 200nl that I thought I had definitely lost money this month, but then I decided to figure out exactly how much my vpps are worth overall.
If you take the total amount of vpps one earns starting the year as Super Nova and going to SNE, u get 3,500,000 fpps. (3.5 x 1 million)

Then subtract the amount u spend on milestones (400,000 for 8 milestones) and u have 3,100,000  / 250,000 (for the 4k bonus) = 12.4  * 4k = 49,600

Plus the value of the milestones including the 1k stellar rewards = 30,800  +18,000 for choosing cash over tournament options once achieving SNE = 98,400  / 1 million = $0.0984 per vpp.
So my 110,000 vpps were worth $10,824... Turns out my worst month ever was still pretty decent... and just like that, my motivation and outlook on the grind is back up.

Also coupled with the fact that once I stopped playing 200nl my win/loss rate came MUCH closer to breaking even and hopefully with a little bit more home work will continue to improve... I honestly think part of it is not paying off people quite as much, i know that might seem a bit dumb from a short stacker, but lately I've found myself in lots of situations where I'm raised with TPGK type hands and I KNOW im beat but feel i have to call and find myself losing a TON.  I know overall its more about what equity I had and how much of my stack was committed etc., but I still think i do this far too much overall, though I havent filtered to check for sure, it's just a hunch.

Anyway damn this got way too long... my apologies.. Just meant to say... Yea! 800k!

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—October 28, 2010

October 28, 2010

Wow.. i certainly didn't think the biggest TEST would be almost 10 full months into this.  After getting a system going 3 or 4 months in I thought I pretty much had it all wrapped up.

However as I've been saying this month has just been insanely brutal, and not just for me either, my backer AND the other 2 guys also being staked for this are all 4 just getting crushed and it is at least 3 of the 4 of our worsts months, 1 guy Im not sure about because he has been tanking pretty consistently.
It's just nuts how we are all losing right now.  So today for example I put in a TON of hours I think around 14 or 15.  Pretty much felt like all I did all day long was play poker.. and of course lost a bit.

For the 5th day in a row at 1/2 I played for 3 hours was up in cash and ev then the last hour EV plummeted $500 luckily my cash actually held and i finished at +$8 despite the ugly EV.

It's just so weird how often this pattern repeats itself its very annoying and frustrating.

So I switched to 100nl, what I've been thinking of my sanctuary this month when things at 200 have been going so bad... unfortunately I had a few portions of my section here and there where I just went on very long no winning hand stretches so I actually finished down about 200 EV and cash in that as well...  And the VERY first thing I did this morning was load up some 50NL tables... but that was a bit of a joke, I had set over set, and full house beaten by a royal flush in the first 15 minutes lol.. I ended up only playing 30 minutes and lost 200 there as well, but I HAD to quit, even though I played 100nl 6max 20 - 24 tables about a month and half ago, it just seemed WAY too fast, I guess I would have to build back up to it, so that is definitely out for now...

So the problem seems to be.. if I want to keep getting these 6,000 vpps/day which I do... I'm going to have to keep putting in massive 15+ hour days since my BR is so low I don't want to risk playing anymore 200nl AND I think my backer is too low to ship me more... in a way I should probably get some kind of refund from paying him 50% if I can't get anymore backing but I dunno I'll worry about that later, but to be totally honest a part of me doesn't want to play anymore damn 200nl I've been having such terrible results.

So yeah somehow here we are 10 months into it and my loss rate at the tables just continues to build with every day its pretty insane how things can change so much after playing over 1 million hands.  I guess I got a VERY long last 2 months ahead of me if this is what I'm going to be doing for them uggggh.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Monday, December 06, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—October 27, 2010

October 27, 2010

Yeah... well here is where I'm at currently in the SNE quest:

Ever since the Full Tilt change and getting closer to the end of the year the 200nl tables have been MUCH tougher... the short stacking ones anyway.  I've looked up a lot of the regs and a fair amount seem to be taking some spills like me as well.  So what I've been doing is switching up playing some 100nl FR and 200nl FR.

100nl is so insanely easier, it's SO standard at 200nl u just hardly ever see anything but AK and QQ+ going all-in other than later position battles and people just don't stack off easy post flop at ALL if they call once, you're usually done.  it just feels like we're all passing money around and giving PokerStars their cut every hand and just hoping to be the one that runs good.

At 100nl people call shoves with T8o and stack off with mid pair ALL day.  I've been playing long sessions of 200nl in the morning when I'm more fresh than playing long sessions of 100nl barley paying attention while watching TV or doing whatever and I've been doing fine at it it's so much easier.
The problem is I let myself get a bit behind AND i have a 10 day vacation in November to where I really want to get 6,000 per day until my vacation so that in December I wont have over 100,000 vpps left to get and it will be easy.

At 200nl it's 600 vpps/hour, but at 100nl it averages 400 vpps/hour.

So obviously I'm not going to do 16 hours a day at 100nl, AND i feel like I've sold my soul because I was working on fullstacking for a while but then felt like I should stop and just grind vpps because I had gotten so far behind. Well now that 200nl has been just destroying me I think I'm going to try and go back to playing some 6max and work on my fullstacking again for part of the day since 6max gets more vpps and STILL end the day on long 100nl FR short stacking since I can do it with such little attention necessary.
This way I'll get a little better vpps, and actually feel like I'm trying to get better at a game style that I hope to ultimately play and not just spewing at 200nl at a game I don't want to keep playing forever.
Hopefully I can keep it up, so far I've gotten 6,000 vpps every single day I've been at my new place except Sundays, my one day off per week.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—October 21, 2010

October 21, 2010

Uggh.

Well it's gotten pretty ugly the last few days.

I got my 6k vpps yesterday and am close to getting it for today, but unfortunately I've just been getting absolutely smashed.

Yesterday I was -$90 EV  but in cash I was -$950.  Then today I fire up and again instantly start running way under EV, I was up in EV as much as 400, though my cash was down several hundred during this time, then after the first 4.5 hours of never being worse than +200 ev,  the last hour and a half I literally lost every hand.  I might has well played face up.  My Ev plummeted to -400 and my cash tanked from -$200 to -$950.

So basically I'm looking to probably lose over 2k in 2 days.  And what is really frustrating about today is my EV totally blows.  The hands were just insane, if a card paired, they had it, they'd spike their set on the turn to beat my Kings etc.  And as always we always got it in AFTER they hit, it was just brutal.
I'm definitely feeling more stressed and confused about what to do now than I have in a while.  I'm not sure what suddenly changed today, but hopefully this running bad will stop, I'm -$1,600 below EV in the last 40 hours Sad

Saturday, November 06, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010–October 15th, 2010

October 15th, 2010

Well the Grind continues, I've gotten lots of work done down here so far.  My winrate is certainly not what I would have hoped for.

I think the tables are a bit tighter still and it doesn't seem like I'm running into many fish.  Or at least people that are worse in skill than me to the point that I know how to exploit their play.

I'm not getting so creamed it's not profitable or I'm going to have to quit or whatever but hopefully I will figure out some mistakes I am making to tighten up my game.  I have been going through my databases and those of some people that are doing better, so far I'm not finding anything hugely different so maybe I just need to get better at when to value bet or get away from my hands.  These tables have gotten so tight and reg infested, even with a short stack it seems like if you get your cbet called they always have better than 1 pair.

Anyway the vpps are bad at times and good at times but so far it's bearable.

Friday, November 05, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010–October 9th, 2010

October 9th, 2010

I guess the difference here is, if I say I play for 8 hours, it seems like ok no big deal an 8 hour day.  But unless I play straight through 8 solid hours, which I very rarely do then I have to take a few breaks and it makes my 8 hour day stretch to 10 or so, every other job has breaks that still count toward their 8 hour day, but if you aren't actually playing it doesn't count so it can be a lot tougher than it seems.  And then of course with all the massive frustration that comes with NOT being a bad ass at the tables and winning 3/4 days or something it does get a bit tough at times.

A few months back, maybe back in April or so, I was doing my thing having a pretty good run and I was coming up on a spot where I was about to clear my 4k bonus AND at the same time hit a milestone to buy so my account was about to be gorged with over 8,000 in bonuses AND I had been making some money at the tables.

The day before I cleared it I lost $3,000.  For no real reason at all.   I was playing the same game, same style, same opponents, but for whatever reason I lost every race, every all-in with AK vs. KQ on a Kxx flop etc.  It just came out of nowhere I was all excited to finally get ahead get my backer his money and get a padding and then BAM basically all my bonus gone in a single day.  There have definitely been some frustrating parts, but honestly more so than even the -3k day the most frustrating is when I make tweaks to my game, win for 3 - 4 days straight, come up about 2 - 3k and then just like magic, I quit the day up a lot, wake up the next day and INSTANTLY start to lose and continue to lose for the next week straight.

There have been at least 4  or 5 times this year where I really thought I had turned the corner and had figured out some leaks, only to end up losing a ton of money a few days later.  That is what really frustrates me is constantly having poker trick me saying "you did it, 6 months of nonstop play and thinking about the game when u go to sleep analyzing stats, you finally figured it out.. then the next day... NOPE, tricked you you still suck, in fact you suck worse than you did a week ago because u suddenly just lost 3,000 in 3 days, and u never used to do that did you?  Haha you're screwed, you're going to lose 1k per day and bury yourself gg your life!"

That's when it really gets to you.  Anyway I'm over 700k now, played 11 hours yesterday and am looking to get in at least 11 hours today.  My buddy had to go to the strip yesterday to meet with some friends flying in, he just showed up at 9:00am banging on the door because for some reason he forgot to take the house keys and I didn't go to bed til about 4:30 so this could be ugly hopefully i can take a nap later today but that's not really my style.

Living off the strip in this house is SO much better than being in a hotel casino cuz it's so tempting to go downstairs its nice being a good 30 minutes or so from the strip so I can just hang out here and play.
Anyway after my 2 week stay here we should have a place lined up in Portland, OR I actually arranged to get the internet setup already even without having the lease signed just so that way we KNOW we will get it on time cuz I don't want any more down time than necessary.

Thursday, October 07, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010 – September 30, 2010

September 30th, 2010

Very legit.

It has been illegal here in my state for quite some time, but this was thought to be unconstitutional and was going to be overturned, I guess however it was upheld by the supreme court in my state a week or so back, somehow I didn't get wind of this.  So they decided they had no choice but to ban us all.

What made it worse was them saying that we would have to show proof such as photo ID and scanned utility bills to prove we had moved.

Well, this is my income, and rent is due in 3 days, so this is no good, even if I did just uproot myself in a moments notice, how the hell am i going to get a photo ID created so quickly?

I sent an email to support and in about 2 minutes I received a phone call from the VIP department.
The dude was super nice and explained how they had no choice etc etc and knew I was going for SNE and obviously couldn't afford to take time off so he told me since I was a high volume player if I did manage to get out of state they would work with me in verifying my location such as a web cam in the hotel lobby or something goofy like that but he assured me they'd figure out a much quicker way to verify it.  So there is SOME hope I guess..  But man.. I like where I live, I'm not really thrilled about uprooting myself in a moments notice.

I'm still not sure how my wife's going to react... well i know how she will react INITIALLY but not overall.

Yeah I really can't believe they didn't give us some warning, I don't see why they wouldn't.  They even made it so we could turn our fpps to cash on the bonuses without clearing them AND we are still free to withdrawal at any time... so what's the difference if we have warning or not?  I would have played MORE if I knew that.  Very odd and brutal.

We are talking about turning our whole life upside down in 2 days, it's pretty upsetting especially for my wife.  Looking like in the early going that we'll be heading to Vegas to stay with a friend, so we'll see what happens.

I feel almost like Robert Deniro on Heat when he tells Al Pacino that you can never have anything in your life that you can't walk out on in 30 seconds if you see the heat around the corner.

I didn't realize I had to be prepared like that.  Crazy shit.

Ya it looks like that's what I'll be doing.  Moving there maybe as soon as Saturday and working from a wifi in a hotel room.  My friend is planning on renting a condo so I'll just stay with him and we'll both be working from there.  Like i said above, the site itself wont let you, but Steve the manager of the VIP room called me and gave me his phone number through Skype and said once I get there get a hold of him and he will personally get the account reopened so I can get back to at asap.  One of the first things he asked was "you're planning on going for SNE right?" to which I replied yeah definitely I'm a little behind pace because I've been trying different styles of play, but in the past i was always able to get 5,000 vpps/day at 200nl and was planning on switching back soon to make up the ground.  To which he said that in 2008 when he went for it he was almost exactly where I am now in vpps so he knows being forced to take time off will just make it that much harder.  So I'm pretty confident I'll get it back on once I get to Vegas.

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Supernova Pursuit 2010 – September 22, 2010

September 22, 2010

I've been having lots of ups and downs.  I'm currently still playing 100nl 100bb 6max, I've been changing the amount of tables based on how I feel I'm performing.

2 days ago I won 1100 even after losing that 400 pot that I posted, then the next 2 days I lost $600 each day, the 2nd day was capped off with accidently calling a $90 river shove... OOOPS!!

I was pretty frustrated with my last 2 days and confused on how I had done so bad when I started BOTH days with over $300 ev only to crash down throughout the day.

I studied some post flop hands toward the end of the night and was appalled at how bad I was playing.  Not in the big all-in hands, but just in the frequent post flop to the flop or turn hands.

Check folding hands I could tell were obvious bluffs by my opponents on the hand review and what not and realized I must have been worn out and not paying enough attention.

I was 24 tabling all day, I did 2 4 hour blocks and by the last one I must have been just totally out of it.  Literally hand after hand I was like.. WTF?  why did i do that, and I had NO IDEA i had done it.

So today I said, fuck the vpps, and only 16 tabled.  I started off with my signature +300ev in 1 hour only to lose it back as always, but kept more focused and fought it off when I felt I was slipping.
I finished a 4 hour block +550 cash and +380 ev.

I took a long walk and about  a 45minute break and fired up again.  I ran great.. REALLY great i was hitting flops people were folding when I didn't, and when i did get coolered I managed to keep it small.  A few times i DID notice myself slipping into robot mode and auto folding hands based on the hands and not position, where i was in the pot etc.  I shook it off and kept going, and in only another 2 hour session I finished the day up $1579   and +1339ev.

Great result.  I was going to play another 2 hours but when I was SO frustrated yesterday I figured I was just going to leave it at this so I will wake up tomorrow ready and eager to get back at it, because if I played and lost $500 in my last hour, sure its still a GREAT day but it would make me feel a bit uneasy about playing tomorrow and I just really felt like I needed this moral victory.  And with only playing 16 tables Im only getting about 400 vpps per hour right now anyway.

Hopefully I can continue to engrain the habits I have when I 16 table so as I add more I can keep playing this game, I don't need to keep donking off money playing terrible, I've done that enough this year.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Saturday, September 18, 2010

Supernova Pursuit 2010 – September 15, 2010

September 15, 2010

No updates in forever, as most of u know i hit a bad patch and decided to start trying to improve my game more than just grinding VPPs for now as it was worse than I realized, or bad variance, but regardless, I needed a change.  I didn't update here mainly because i forgot and didnt feel like I was even grinding lately just doing lots of homework.

Anyway as u guys know i've been playing some 6max... today's was no different.

The theme of today is... Can u convince urself to NOT pay off (you jackass)

So today I ran 2 sessions, a 4 hour and a 5 hour session.  Both were 100nl 100bb 6max.

I started off with 18 tables, but surprisingly somehow it had slowed down SO much from even yesterday I ended up doing 20 by the 2nd session.

The first session went pretty good, I unfortunately dropped a bit right at the end and went from +500 cash +450ev to 250 cash 200 ev, though still decent.

The 2nd session started out in shambles.  I was beat by set over set early on, and 2 times my 2nd nut two card flush ran into the nut flush.  That with some general bad play and bad luck, I was soon -300ev and -800 cash.

I kept playing and battling and felt like I was making some sound plays, I bluffed a lot more than normal as for a stretch it seemed EVERYONE was  a fucking nit, at one point I flopped 3 sets and 1 straight almost simultaneously, in ALL 4 all my opponents check folded on the flop.  I couldn't believe it.
Anyway I go on a nice heater about 3 hours in and suddenly Im up 600 ev for the day and 285 cash ( i ran terrible this session).

But then it happened, I had done it once or twice earlier but i just started paying people off.

I knew how nitty they were, but i hit a run of missing everything or constantly having 2nd best hands that normally would have been strong, yet i STILL knew i was almost definitely beat, and I kept calling.
I almost think it was a psychological thing like, OK i made my EV back AND some money back, time to relax... very very dumb.  I dropped to 150ev or so for a while, then the last 20 minutes which i didn't even plan on playing it got REALLY bad, I even made my first LEGIT tilt call ever.  I was 200 deep and this guy who previously and recently had hit 2 sets against me when I had top two in one and AA in the other on the flop was against me, flop came AQ4 I had AQ i bet he calls, turn is a Jack, I bet and just KNOW he will raise, and he does, I cant believe it, so what do I do?  Fold?  NOPE I tilt call, saying, oh maybe he's overplaying AJ... RIGHT... would I raise it to $68 there with AJ?  No... never.  So I call. and here's where it gets REAL bad... river is a T.  So any king will do... pot is 180 we both have a little over 100 left.. he puts it in and I already decide so i snap call.. and BAM KTo  ship it.  200bb gone.

I just shook my head, I really don't think I've ever done that, at least not this year, and if i did it might have been like a smaller bet or something.  But this one was bad.

So I ended the 9 hours -600ish in cash and -280 in EV.  Really MUCH better EV than I felt I deserved.
I looked through my top 25 and worst 25 hands of the day though.

and of the top 25, 2 of my winning hands maybe u could make an argument for 3 were iffy calls.
But, of my 25 worst hands, a whopping 12 were bad calls that shouldn't have been made.
I estimated each one was worth an average of about $80.  So if we took them all away including the 2 - 3 I won, we're talking about 700 of cash and ev that I spewed.

I really REALLY gotta stop doing that without good reason.  I said in Skype i was going to only about 10 minutes before i donked off the 200bb pot and a few others.  It was crazy I def was in a form of tilt even though I didn't feel angry.

However, I really am actually more optimistic now than I've been at 6max.  I've been winning in general, and don't feel intimidated or out of place at the 100nl level thus far (it's still early i know) and I really feel like once I sew up this leak I will be an instant winning player.

I definitely have more work to do and more to understand but i think the coaching vids on sites I've been on are helping and I think I'm thinking about my play and my opponents ranges more than ever, so hopefully I can just make myself fold once in a while, and we'll be on to the NEXT leak which I'm sure will rear its ugly head soon... probably folding TOO much lol.

GL everyone.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Supernova Pursuit 2010 – August 9, 2010

August 9, 2010

The PokerStars love continues.  Today (my first day playing since the $1300 day) I yet again had a few great sessions.  I made $400 in my first 3 hours despite my ev actually being DOWN $250.  I came home to finish my 8 hour day and within less than 1 hour I was up 500 again but this time actually had positive EV.  I got as high as +1200 at one point and was hoping to have back to back +1k days, but then I got SMOKED down to about 750.  I finished the day up about $875 though with 350ev.

This now makes 3 consecutive winning days for me, and GOOD winning days at that, and best of all, all 3 were positive EV days as well.  Hopefully I've shaken off the rust and can keep this going for a while.  Man its nice to stack up a few winning days after such a long stretch of getting smoked last month.

My wife gave me a rather simple obvious way of breaking down my 120,000 vpps/month goal (5k per day 24 days).

I basically just need 40,000 vpps every 10 days.  I like this though because it gives me little intermediate goals to hit my main goal of 120k.   So with 2 days to go I'm at 32,500 so I don't even need the full 2 5k days.

So hopefully things keep going well and in 2 days I will be 1/3 of the way through my August goal.
The cool thing is that even though I felt like I slacked SO bad in June and July (and I did) the SNE pace right now as of tonight is: 602,740

I'm sitting at 572,500, so although I'm a BIT behind, the pace is only 2,740/day so at the end of August, pace will be at 663,020, and low and behold, my exact goal for the end of august is 660,000 vpps, so this should get me virtually right on pace and then from there it's just maintaining it and seeing just how early i want to get done with the grind this year.

Hope you all are doing well at the tables (IF YOU ARE EVEN PLAYING!!!)

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Monday, September 06, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010 – July 30, 2010

July 30, 2010

It's been a while since I've given an update because... well there hasn't been a lot to update about.

For the past 2 months my progress has all but come to a halt.  I have been drifting only getting around 50,000 vpps/month with all these commitments that keep smacking me in the face.

Well... I don't like it.  Days off are nice, but I'm the type of person that can only enjoy himself so much when in the back of his mind he knows he is slacking off.

I am still behind pace after being well ahead for most of the year and it has really been getting to me, but I have seemingly gotten through most commitments and am excited to get back to the grind and get going.

My upcoming goal is to have August be my biggest month to date.

I'm currently at just under 538,000 vpps.  I plan to play some tomorrow so I will at the very least get myself to 540,000 to enter into august.

At that point I will need 460,000 vpps in 5 months to get SNE.  I am going to play until I get 5k vpps each day and am going to start off the month playing 6 days/week.  If I play all but 7 days in august (3 2 day weekends and 1 1 day weekend) I'll hit 24 days of play for a total of 120,000 vpps.

This would put me up at 660,000 and actually if I continued this for Sept, Oct I would hit Nov 1st needing only 100,000 points for the rest of the year.

That is a bit ahead of where I am now, but I'm excited to try it.  It's 3 months of buckling down and then BAM I'm home free and the last 2 months are a cake walk (though I'd probably try to just finish it off in Novemeber if I get to that point)

So 1 step at a time.  August is almost here and I DESPERATELY want to keep my word and goal and hit 120,000 vpps next month.

Good luck all.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Saturday, September 04, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010 – July 18, 2010

July 18, 2010

Just started a 4 hour session.  It went bad.  I started off just dying.  Kept getting allin on the river with 2nd nuts against 30%vpip types and what not, I only really felt bad about a few of the hands but the next thing I knew I hit refresh and I was down about $400 ev and $800 cash.  Kept playing for another 2.5 hours to finish off the 4 hour session.  At end I was -$470 in EV  and -$1270 in cash. ..

This brings my month total to -$2690 in cash and +$1.75 in EV.

Sad that over the last 2 days my ev dipped about $1,000 but also sad than my cash is falling faster.
I'm surprised that I'm running this bad when I thought having bigger stacks and being allin much less often would lead to less deviations from EV.

The good news I guess is that I'm still a few hundred up in EV since I started fullstacking over a month ago, but lately I've been having more bad days, time for a session review and see if I pick up on any boneheaded moves I guess.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Sunday, August 22, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010 – July 7, 2010

July 7, 2010

Well I did it... 500,000 vpps!

Of course it came with some sad news, my last 3 hour session was very bad.

I could NOT stop running into sets or KK vs AA type stuff..  And the worst part was it was ALWAYS against people unknown to me so I wouldnt give them respect... Such a bad finish.

My last session I lost about $700 and $600 EV (The ev is what upset me the most)

So I finished the day -1050 or so in cash and +$400 in EV.  MUCh lower in both than I had hoped.
The funny thing is if the sessions were in different order I'd probably be happier.  I finished the day with +400 ev which is 1.49bb/100 which is SUPERB!! but I still feel like I'm terrible at poker lol... what a twat.

Just sucks when u just drop that many buyins and feel like your getting creamed every hand.

Oh well..  time for a beer to celebrate..

Half way

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Sunday, August 08, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit – July 2, 2010

July 2, 2010

Another great session.
Played for 3 hours, within about 20 minutes I was down about $250EV and down $480 cash.  I was really tired probably started a little early but realized I was once again trying to force it not being patient.
After the end of my 3 hours, my EV was up $760 and my cash up $520.  Great turn around Smile
My biggest pot is also my biggest pot to date I believe, I was actually talking to a friend on Skype AND my wife was talking to me so I was a little distracted, I don't even REMEMBER playing the flop OR turn, and when the river came down I didn't even know what had happened, I assumed I had raised Pf, Cbet the flop and then checked the turn, later I saw what had happened... Sometimes being distracted DOES pay off Smile
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP1 ($33)
MP2 ($40)
MP3 ($35)
CO ($35.75)
Button ($36.35)
SB ($192.50)
MellowYellow (BB) ($189.95)
UTG ($206.90)
UTG+1 ($73)
Preflop: MellowYellow is BB with ,
UTG calls $2, 5 folds, Button calls $2, SB calls $1, MellowYellow checks
Flop: ($8) , , (4 players)
SB checks, MellowYellow checks, UTG bets $4, 2 folds, MellowYellow calls $4
Turn: ($16) (2 players)
MellowYellow checks, UTG bets $2, MellowYellow calls $2
River: ($20) (2 players)
MellowYellow bets $11.50, UTG raises to $36, MellowYellow raises to $83.50, UTG raises to $198.90 (All-In),
MellowYellow says "Oh Shiiit!!"
I double check to make sure I DO have a boat and there isn't a double paired board like AA558 and I'm being an idiot, (I’m playing 24 tables maybe I'm missing something)  There isn't.  Damn... seems like slow played AA... But what am I going to do at this point, I have to pay him off... I look up and see his VP$IP is 64% and Suddenly make a very confident call.
MellowYellow calls $98.45 (All-In)
Total pot: $383.90 | Rake: $3
Main pot: $383.90 between MellowYellow and UTG, won by MellowYellow
Results:
MellowYellow had 8, 8 (full house, eights over fives).
UTG had 7, K (flush, Ace high).
Outcome: MellowYellow won $380.90
Very Happy  Gotta love it.  Back on a 2 session winning streak...  Come on baby keep it up Smile

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Monday, August 02, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010 – June 25, 2010

June 25, 2010

Well tomorrow I take my REAL vacation and the tail end of the 'somewhat' vacation.

My step-son has been here for 2 weeks now and so my hours have really suffered, I only got in something like 24 hours in each week at best, there was just too much going on between watching him and taking him out to do fun summer stuff.

So I'll probably wake up and try to get about 4 hours in before leaving, and hopefully another 6 hours or so when I'm down in California.  I'm guessing I can get a total of 5,000 vpps between tomorrow and a little play on vacation so when I come back I will be only 3 days away from 500,000 vpps.

So of course I SHOULD have had 500k by the end of this month, I'm not too worried about being a little behind as I've said many times.

I really have been playing most 30 - 34 hours/week for the vast majority of weeks and still would get more than I needed per week, so if I just buckle down and get some good weeks in it will be no problem, and although I do have some stuff coming up in July and August once the summer fades in Sept and October I really plan on buckling down and trying to get to where I'm practically done by the time December hits.
Anyway I've continued going for full stacking (50bbs) and today was a great one.

I ended up the day up over $1,000 and up about 600ev as well.    My last 2 hour session alone was +$900 and 650ev it was crazy i just kept steadily winning the whole time my graph just kept slowly climbing up no real big jumps up or down.

Also my red line actually climbed a bit over the last 3 hours of my 5.5 hour day, I am guessing it's a result of being in a lot more larger pots that don't go to showdown like I would when short stacking.  If so maybe it does make a bit more sense to me how your red line is cruising so well Tony, though mine is not anything like yours.

Anyway hopefully I will keep working and thinking about things and improving, I am trying to get the short stack mentalities out of my head like jamming with any kind of top pair type hands or over pairs and thinking I HAVE to see showdowns cuz I have decent hands.  And really more than ever I'm now paying attention to who I'm in the pot with as certain regs just will not continue without monster hands.  I still have to get better at that but I think I'm on the path.

I was hoping for some advice on hiring coaches or where to look, but who knows maybe that won’t happen after all.  I reached out to 2 people and never heard back so maybe I'll juts keep grinding away for now, though I do think it's a great idea and could be immensely beneficial, especially around the blinds and with hands like TT or AK facing an open raise or a raise of my own pf open.

Anyway hope everyone has a good finish to their month and starts out July in the green.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum