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Friday, December 31, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 22, 2010

December 22, 2010

I've never gone and setup Camtasia Sad i was planning on making a 24 tabling vid AGES ago and just never did.

Hell maybe i should try and stop when i'm only about 5 vpps away and we can play on the same table? 

Only problem is, it wouldn't be that dramatic as it wont change from Red to black stars on the table SadI'd have to leave and come back.  So hmm might be a bit anti climatic.

Anyway I am closing in on being under 10,000 to go!  probably another 20 minutes or so.  It's getting awful close now.  I just switched back to 100nl from 200nl tho.  I've been running REALLY well in terms of EV at 200 but really terrible in terms of cards, I keep running into AA or KK when I have Queens and AK and a lot of the times when i keep going after the fish they will river some gutshot or something and get it allin, so my ev is like below 500 today but I'm actually UP about 500 at 200nl today, So after just having a big up and downswing of $400 in about 10 minutes coupled with the fact that I'm only getting .32 vpps/hand at 200nl today (WTF!) I decided to move back to 100.

Why risk double the money vs. better opponents for only 20% more vpps?

This last week or 2 has gone pretty well.. I think with today I will be running good through the past 10 days but even before today despite running a bit below ev most days I had been turning an average of about $200 or so profit per day with a few small losing days mixed in (though Poker Table Ratings doesn't agree for some reason).

I tried to make a worst case estimation of what my BR would be like once I ended the year about 2 weeks ago.  I figured at worst I might lose another 2k, i figured even with this once i got my SNE bonus packages and all I'd still have an ok amount to start grinding next year on my own without having to get any backing (or more accurately a loan with guaranteed payback, since Im not going to get staked when Im already SNE) but so far I've actually profited close to 1k and Im now only 2 full days away, so unless I have the 2 consecutive worst days of 100nl I should be well ahead of my projection and feeling pretty safe starting out the year with my BR.

I hope I can at least break even the next 2 days, it would be nice to have one of my 'worst case' scenarios not come true since they usually nearly have been lately Smile

December 24, 2010

NO!!!!  Epic Fail.   I had .94 to go,

I went to a .5/.10 table HU and the first hand I flopped the nut flush and the guy bet into me, I figured about .33 rake would be all i needed, the damn guy jammed on me on the river and I called and it jumped from .13 rake to .39 or so and pushed me over !!! arrrgh LOL i was trying to get to 999,999.99
Damn that donk, what the hell lol

and

The black stars Very Happy
WOOHOO

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

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