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Friday, December 31, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 22, 2010

December 22, 2010

I've never gone and setup Camtasia Sad i was planning on making a 24 tabling vid AGES ago and just never did.

Hell maybe i should try and stop when i'm only about 5 vpps away and we can play on the same table? 

Only problem is, it wouldn't be that dramatic as it wont change from Red to black stars on the table SadI'd have to leave and come back.  So hmm might be a bit anti climatic.

Anyway I am closing in on being under 10,000 to go!  probably another 20 minutes or so.  It's getting awful close now.  I just switched back to 100nl from 200nl tho.  I've been running REALLY well in terms of EV at 200 but really terrible in terms of cards, I keep running into AA or KK when I have Queens and AK and a lot of the times when i keep going after the fish they will river some gutshot or something and get it allin, so my ev is like below 500 today but I'm actually UP about 500 at 200nl today, So after just having a big up and downswing of $400 in about 10 minutes coupled with the fact that I'm only getting .32 vpps/hand at 200nl today (WTF!) I decided to move back to 100.

Why risk double the money vs. better opponents for only 20% more vpps?

This last week or 2 has gone pretty well.. I think with today I will be running good through the past 10 days but even before today despite running a bit below ev most days I had been turning an average of about $200 or so profit per day with a few small losing days mixed in (though Poker Table Ratings doesn't agree for some reason).

I tried to make a worst case estimation of what my BR would be like once I ended the year about 2 weeks ago.  I figured at worst I might lose another 2k, i figured even with this once i got my SNE bonus packages and all I'd still have an ok amount to start grinding next year on my own without having to get any backing (or more accurately a loan with guaranteed payback, since Im not going to get staked when Im already SNE) but so far I've actually profited close to 1k and Im now only 2 full days away, so unless I have the 2 consecutive worst days of 100nl I should be well ahead of my projection and feeling pretty safe starting out the year with my BR.

I hope I can at least break even the next 2 days, it would be nice to have one of my 'worst case' scenarios not come true since they usually nearly have been lately Smile

December 24, 2010

NO!!!!  Epic Fail.   I had .94 to go,

I went to a .5/.10 table HU and the first hand I flopped the nut flush and the guy bet into me, I figured about .33 rake would be all i needed, the damn guy jammed on me on the river and I called and it jumped from .13 rake to .39 or so and pushed me over !!! arrrgh LOL i was trying to get to 999,999.99
Damn that donk, what the hell lol

and

The black stars Very Happy
WOOHOO

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 22, 2010

December 22, 2010

Ive never gone and setup Camtasia Sad i was planning on making a 24 tabling vid AGES ago and just never did.

Hell maybe i should try and stop when I'm only about 5 vpps away and we can play on the same table?  Only problem is, it wouldn't be that dramatic as it wont change from Red to black stars on the table SadI'd have to leave and come back.  So hmm might be a bit anti climatic.

Anyway I am closing in on being under 10,000 to go!  probably another 20 minutes or so.  It's getting awful close now.  I just switched back to 100nl from 200nl tho.  I've been running REALLY well in terms of EV at 200 but really terrible in terms of cards, I keep running into AA or KK when I have Queens and AK and a lot of the times when i keep going after the fish they will river some gutshot or something and get it all-in, so my ev is like below 500 today but I'm actually UP about 500 at 200nl today, So after just having a big up and downswing of $400 in about 10 minutes coupled with the fact that I'm only getting .32 vpps/hand at 200nl today (WTF!) I decided to move back to 100.

Why risk double the money vs. better opponents for only 20% more vpps?

This last week or 2 has gone pretty well.. I think with today I will be running good through the past 10 days but even before today despite running a bit below ev most days I had been turning an average of about $200 or so profit per day with a few small losing days mixed in (though Poker Table Ratings doesnt agree for some reason).

I tried to make a worst case estimation of what my BR would be like once I ended the year about 2 weeks ago.  I figured at worst I might lose another 2k, i figured even with this once i got my SNE bonus packages and all I'd still have an ok amount to start grinding next year on my own without having to get any backing (or more accurately a loan with guaranteed payback, since Im not going to get staked when Im already SNE) but so far I've actually profited close to 1k and Im now only 2 full days away, so unless I have the 2 consecutive worst days of 100nl I should be well ahead of my projection and feeling pretty safe starting out the year with my BR.

I hope I can at least break even the next 2 days, it would be nice to have one of my 'worst case' scenarios not come true since they usually nearly have been lately Smile

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 21, 2010

December 21, 2010

Yeah fpp pro is some site that breaks down being an fpp pro on PokerStars I guess. I've only just gone there once or twice, but it keeps a running total of what 'on pace' is for the day based on getting 1 million by years end.  So it breaks down to a little under 3k/day and it figures it out.  I finally caught up to pace again.

I've got a few more days under my belt, played some more 6max and again had bad results.  I just cant seem to keep it going good for more than an hour or 2.  The last session I played of it I was running just over BE maybe a buyin or 2, then suddenly through either coincidence, lack of focus or just overriding skill over coming variance I started to tank again.  Finished the session down almost 400, and decided that I just can't let myself play it anymore this year unless i want to use it for a final push to hurry up and get this thing, but not in my daily grinds anymore.  I was up quite a bit at 100nl before and then after that tho so it ended up being an ok day.

Then unfortunately, yesterday was football, so of course I ended up getting drunk and not playing much Smile and I stayed the night at my sister in laws house so I didn't get home to start playing til like 4pm or something like that.  I've been grinding almost nonstop though since I got here and was playing some 200nl FR with actually some really good results, I ran good AND had good ev, after today I decided to look back over my results for the last week, and even with the tanks at 200nl 6max I'm actually ahead this week for the first time in a LONG time (probably since doing this damn 14 hour day stuff)  So since I played a lot of 200nl I actually am looking like I'm going to be pretty close to getting my 5k for the day, I'll probably start tomorrow with 979k (4 days left)

Though I'm thinking about trying to play a lot more the next few days and see if I can get done early.  If I can handle 200nl I will probably try to get done in 3 days, but if I end up getting smoked like before then I will just drop back to 100 and finish in 4, either way... it's getting SUPER close Yo!

Yeah if anything I'm taking a few days extra off next year, I'm still not sure when I'm going to be flying back home, but i THINK before new years, in which case i plan on spending a few days at my mom and dad's house, both in WA state so obv no poker.  If I get a little bit of a late start I'm not that worried about it I'm planning on getting about 26k/week or so which is only 5k/day 5 days a week.  In the beginning when the weather still sucks I probably wont have a lot to do in Jan and Feb anyway so if I get a bit of a slow start I will probably be able to catch up anyway since I will probably still play 6 days a week when I'm just sitting around bored.

It is pretty surprising how many people procrastinate to the end like this.  I would have been done ages ago if I didn't decide to move down to 100nl, but some of these other guys just really surprise me.  My backer made it on about Dec 30th or so last year even after getting the 100k vpp bonus for playing in the WSOP from stars, and he is again going to be finishing on about Dec 27th or so and that's with him playing 200 - 600nl every day right now for 6k/month he entered Dec with about 860 or so vpps.  Then another guy on 2+2 megafossil is a mass multitabling DoN player, he entered this month needing over 200k vpps and he is now getting over 10k/day playing tons of DoNs for 13 hours a day, when I see that he is capable of getting this many vpps/hour and /day I wonder how he could get himself so far behind.  It's pretty amazing to me how strong the human will to procrastinate is.

December 22, 2010

Finishing up right now and going to have 15k remaining.  I had a super tough time sleeping last night, didn't go to bed til 5:15 or so and woke up a lot starting at about 8:30 or so, I was having those weird kind of cracked out dreams where you keep waking up but not really, really unrestful sleep. Anyway I think I dreamt about 6 different times that I had made SNE. I think it was the first time it sank in that I really should get this.

I think in the back of my mind I keep thinking something weird will happen that will stop me from making it, and until having some strange dreams that I was already SNE I don't think I ever really had gotten excited before.  I'm pretty excited to see those black stars!  Almost there fellas!

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Monday, December 27, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—December 3, 2010

December 3, 2010

I wrote a fairly lengthy update 2 days ago on a plane but somehow it didn't update, maybe I closed the computer right after hitting post and didn't give it time.

Anyway I finally broke 900,000 about 2 hours into my session this morning.  Definitely a few days behind where I was hoping for.

It was crazy how bad my luck was while in Indiana for thanksgiving.  I stayed between 3 places:

My Step son's house, with the normal Comcast high-speed cable internet

My sister in laws house (the one featured on MTV cribs I think i posted about) that has super fast internet.

My Mother in laws house with an AT&T cable speed internet

I got some really short sessions in before Thanksgiving which was a bit of a bonus since I wasn't really planning on that, then we stayed 3 days at my Sister in laws.  Despite them having something superior than cable and her having played on PokerStars a ton and me having played on PokerStars from her house before several months ago, for some reason, whenever I connected to PokerStars it would only work for about 1 - 2 minutes than lag for about 10, it was insane and the worst lag I had ever seen, and this was whether i was on wireless OR directly plugged in.  And while it was getting zero connection i could browse at super fast speeds etc, it just made no sense.  So i lost 3 days there.

Then we stayed at my mother in laws house again for the 2nd time, and once again it worked fine, unfortunately we weren't there that long so I got another shorter session in.

Then the last day we were off to my step son's house..  I slept in pretty late before we went so I was FINALLY well rested ( i was having trouble sleeping the whole trip) and was all ready to stay up late and play the last day.  We get there, I'm watching my son play x-box for a few minutes when suddenly he gets disconnected from Xbox live, I go down stairs and his dad and grandpa are watching TV when it goes out... it was at that time we realized their Comcast TV AND internet was down, and they called and determined they had to get a technician out TOMORROW to fix it... And low and behold I couldn't sleep til after 6am with NO way to play... Sad

So I came back with a lot less logged than I had hoped for.  Stayed a day or so in Seattle and now I'm back home.  The only thing is my sister in law offered us(me and Poe) a side job we couldn't refuse but it will take about 3 weeks.  So now on Sunday she is flying us BACK to Indy where we'll be staying til almost new years.

So I have today and 2 more days to grind Vpps, I was hoping to just play ALL 3 days from start to finish as I knew it would be hell but I would be glad to have gotten it done, I'm still doing it, but was hoping to get about 7k vpps/day.  However todays vpp rate has been bad so it looks like only 6k again Sad

Oh well at least at this point I figure the absolute WORST I could go to Indy with even if I get a bit lazy is 915,000 and then that will leave me 17 days at 5k or less if I can get more vpps, so hopefully still on pace to get done before xmas.  We shall see, it's been slow going, if I hadn't gone to Indy for thanksgiving I probably would have about 940,000 or so by now, but it happens, at least I am STILL on pace to be able to make it only playing 100nl FR (yes I went back to FR even though I was really enjoying 6max and felt i was playing good, I kept having terrible sessions and running into what I felt was the top of my opponents ranges over and over and getting smoked so Im more or less just staying at 100 until the end of the year, or maybe til I get real close and just want to get it over with.

but... anyway whining aside, 900k and beyond, next milestone... is IT... SNE!

GL all.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit—November 6, 2010

November 6, 2010

Well as I said in a different part of the forum, PokerStars had some glitches where you could actually play more than 24 tables at once.  I was hoping it was a trial run, but I dont think it was... From what I've heard since...

I kept going because I knew this was a pretty good opportunity for vpps.  I managed to get up to as many as 32 tables.  So I kept playing until I got 7,200 vpps.  This is by far the most I've ever gotten in one day and at only 100nl, I've never even gotten this many playing 200nl but I did put in a really long day.
I guess what happened was a few tables were messed up and didn't count toward your 24 tables, so I managed to find 8 broken ones, it seemed most of them were at 100nl.  They mixed it the next day, I was at 27 for a little while, but they would slowly close the tables for maintenance so I eventually whittled back down 24.  Oh well it was awesome while it lasted, great getting about 500 - 550 vpps at 100nl.

The day was getting so long that I ended up having a few drinks after about 8 or 9 hours straight.  I was getting really bored and sick of playing obviously but after I got a little buzzed I didn't hardly notice.  I just kept going and going.  It's actually what I've been doing the last day or 2, it works pretty well.  And honestly all 3 days in a row, I've gone on pretty good upswings while slightly drunk... or heavily buzzed whichever u want to classify it as Smile

November 19, 2010

Another long day, i took a break in the middle of the day and it made for a VERY long night.
Im still having back and forth sessions.  We have been tweaking our strategy so much lately sometimes it's hard to know what is and isnt working, but it certainly seems to be working well for my backer atm. He's on a 9 day winning streak at 1/2 2/4 and 3/6 short stacking and rat-holing and winning good chunks of cash.

I've been working on the same strat and our stats suggest it is close but somehow I don't seem to have nearly the success he is.  I have been having SLIGHTLY better results though but not good enough imo.
Anyway tho, I hit my 6k again today and even with some delays and slow downs here and there for various reasons, I'm at 877k  I am going to take a quick 4 - 5 hour sleep and get back at it, and then also Saturday.  So that will take me to 889, I'm trying to get to 890 before leaving for thanksgiving for 8 days, and hopefully getting in some hours hear and there while on the trip so when I come back Dec 1st, I'll only have 100k left and can wrap it up in around 3 weeks.

So although things aren't going GREAT, it seems like they are certainly going well enough to where I should be making this, and my backer is doing Really well so there is still hope that I can keep improving and get a bit better myself.  I would love to go back to 200nl and get my 6k vpps in only 10 - 11 hours, but every time I go I seem to just get crushed whether bad luck, bad play or coolers, but I'm just sick of the -$600 hours so I don't know if I'll be going back anytime soon, it's just less stressful putting in longer days, and unfortunately I'm pretty used to it by now Smile

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Saturday, December 25, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—November 1, 2010

November 1, 2010

Well, today marks the end of October, also known as my worst month to date...

However, I also got the most VPPs ever which is pretty cool since I couldn't even start playing in the beginning and had to drive to Las Vegas, spend 3 nights in a room at the Rio, then go to a rental house for 8, THEN fly back home, pack up all my belongings in my house and drive to my new place back and forth, get setup and THEN play poker.

Anyway as the month ends, so too does my stay at 700,000  I hit 800,000 tonight at about 10:15pm
I got about 110,000 this month, and just need to get 100k in each of the two following months.
It's getting awful close now.

And also, another bright point, I had lost so much early on at 200nl that I thought I had definitely lost money this month, but then I decided to figure out exactly how much my vpps are worth overall.
If you take the total amount of vpps one earns starting the year as Super Nova and going to SNE, u get 3,500,000 fpps. (3.5 x 1 million)

Then subtract the amount u spend on milestones (400,000 for 8 milestones) and u have 3,100,000  / 250,000 (for the 4k bonus) = 12.4  * 4k = 49,600

Plus the value of the milestones including the 1k stellar rewards = 30,800  +18,000 for choosing cash over tournament options once achieving SNE = 98,400  / 1 million = $0.0984 per vpp.
So my 110,000 vpps were worth $10,824... Turns out my worst month ever was still pretty decent... and just like that, my motivation and outlook on the grind is back up.

Also coupled with the fact that once I stopped playing 200nl my win/loss rate came MUCH closer to breaking even and hopefully with a little bit more home work will continue to improve... I honestly think part of it is not paying off people quite as much, i know that might seem a bit dumb from a short stacker, but lately I've found myself in lots of situations where I'm raised with TPGK type hands and I KNOW im beat but feel i have to call and find myself losing a TON.  I know overall its more about what equity I had and how much of my stack was committed etc., but I still think i do this far too much overall, though I havent filtered to check for sure, it's just a hunch.

Anyway damn this got way too long... my apologies.. Just meant to say... Yea! 800k!

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—October 28, 2010

October 28, 2010

Wow.. i certainly didn't think the biggest TEST would be almost 10 full months into this.  After getting a system going 3 or 4 months in I thought I pretty much had it all wrapped up.

However as I've been saying this month has just been insanely brutal, and not just for me either, my backer AND the other 2 guys also being staked for this are all 4 just getting crushed and it is at least 3 of the 4 of our worsts months, 1 guy Im not sure about because he has been tanking pretty consistently.
It's just nuts how we are all losing right now.  So today for example I put in a TON of hours I think around 14 or 15.  Pretty much felt like all I did all day long was play poker.. and of course lost a bit.

For the 5th day in a row at 1/2 I played for 3 hours was up in cash and ev then the last hour EV plummeted $500 luckily my cash actually held and i finished at +$8 despite the ugly EV.

It's just so weird how often this pattern repeats itself its very annoying and frustrating.

So I switched to 100nl, what I've been thinking of my sanctuary this month when things at 200 have been going so bad... unfortunately I had a few portions of my section here and there where I just went on very long no winning hand stretches so I actually finished down about 200 EV and cash in that as well...  And the VERY first thing I did this morning was load up some 50NL tables... but that was a bit of a joke, I had set over set, and full house beaten by a royal flush in the first 15 minutes lol.. I ended up only playing 30 minutes and lost 200 there as well, but I HAD to quit, even though I played 100nl 6max 20 - 24 tables about a month and half ago, it just seemed WAY too fast, I guess I would have to build back up to it, so that is definitely out for now...

So the problem seems to be.. if I want to keep getting these 6,000 vpps/day which I do... I'm going to have to keep putting in massive 15+ hour days since my BR is so low I don't want to risk playing anymore 200nl AND I think my backer is too low to ship me more... in a way I should probably get some kind of refund from paying him 50% if I can't get anymore backing but I dunno I'll worry about that later, but to be totally honest a part of me doesn't want to play anymore damn 200nl I've been having such terrible results.

So yeah somehow here we are 10 months into it and my loss rate at the tables just continues to build with every day its pretty insane how things can change so much after playing over 1 million hands.  I guess I got a VERY long last 2 months ahead of me if this is what I'm going to be doing for them uggggh.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Thursday, December 23, 2010

Why Watch the Video?

From the most recent Full Tilt pro advice newsletter…

12-23-2010 11-06-16 PM

Friday, December 17, 2010

Reid Poker Bill With 15 Month Blackout All But Dead, Thank God

I mentioned earlier that the PPA has been limply caving to “blackout” periods in the legalization of online poker (a misnomer because online poker isn’t explicitly illegal in the first place).  These blackout periods would cause all the major online poker rooms to leave the US market for up to 15 months.  The Reid poker bill was the one garnishing the most recent attention and with the most possibility of actually happening but thankfully it did not happen: 

On Thursday morning, John Pappas told Poker News Daily that the bill introduced by U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) legalizing and regulating online poker is all but dead. A move to add the bill’s language to the tax relief act currently being debated in Congress failed to come to fruition.

Pappas told Poker News Daily that a highly charged debate over the tax measure was largely to blame: “When the tax package fell through and things became much more political for it – not related to our bill – it became clear that another controversial addition to the tax bill could sink it.” Reid’s bill would have opened the online poker market in the United States to current operators like Caesars Entertainment, which owns the rights to the annual World Series of Poker.

Reid struck a deal with Republicans on the contents of the tax relief act, which perhaps closed the door to other bills being added.

Now what? With the Republican Party taking control of the House of Representatives in 2011, pro-internet gambling allies like Congressman Barney Frank (D-MA) may take a back seat. Frank, whose HR 2267, the Internet Gambling Regulation, Consumer Protection, and Enforcement Act, garnered 70 co-sponsors and sailed through the House Financial Services Committee in July, will likely lose his post as Chairman. In his stead could be staunch internet gambling opponent Spencer Bachus (R-AL), whom the PPA graded an “F” in its Congressional Ratings Guide.

Looking ahead to 2011, Pappas told Poker News Daily, “The online poker bill that was floating around needs some improvement, so the PPA wants to go back to Senator Reid and talk about how we can improve on his current draft. There’s going to be a renewed focus in the Senate and we’ll be taking some of the legislation in a different direction so that’s it not focused on the Financial Service Committee, where we have a known opponent.”

Two years ago, Bachus, the current Ranking Member of the committee, erroneously quoted a study from McGill University linking internet gambling to suicide. The Alabama lawmaker asserted in a June 2008 hearing, “McGill University found that one-third – one-third – of college students who gambled on the internet ultimately attempted suicide. That is why the rate of suicide on our college campuses has doubled in the last ten years.” In fact, no such study had ever taken place.

On Wednesday night, ESPN.com published an article declaring Reid’s bill dead. Pappas told the Connecticut-based news outlet, “Sadly, some politicians remain with their heads firmly in the sand. The leadership of the Poker Players Alliance got the debate this far and we are determined to see this through.” The Hill reported that the ongoing lame duck session on Capitol Hill is scheduled to end on Friday, although reports during the week have surfaced that lawmakers may remain in Washington, DC until close to Christmas.

Last weekend, adding language legalizing and regulating online poker to a must-pass omnibus spending bill appeared to be a possibility according to Bloomberg, but Pappas explained that adding another earmark to would “make things more complicated.” The Senate approved the tax relief bill on Wednesday, with the House potentially set to follow suit this afternoon.

Pappas was scheduled to tape a segment about the online poker bill with Bloomberg. Pappas will speak on behalf of the 1.2 million member strong lobbying group that has become the main voice for poker players in the United States. Four years ago, the PPA stood at just 50,000 members.

Reid’s bill won’t officially be dead until the clock strikes Midnight on the 111th Congress. Pappas concluded with a silver lining: “We always knew we had a chance to pass legislation during the lame duck session, but it fell short. But, I think there’s significant momentum going forward. We’ve done a good job of convincing lawmakers that the status quo isn’t acceptable.”

Source: Poker News Daily

Friday, December 10, 2010

In General I Like the PPA but COME ON…

Yesterday the Poker Players Alliance www.theppa.org sent out an email talking about the chances that a poker licensing bill or “legalization” bill would pass during the lame duck session of congress.  One bill that is attracting a lot of attention on the www.twoplustwo.com forums is by Senator Reid (a known opponent of online gambling).  In it he includes a 15 month blackout period which means that all the major online poker rooms would be forbidden from servicing the United States for 15 months.  Yes, not a great deal if you depend on online poker for your income!

The PPA said this:

Let me assure you that we have heard and strongly considered the concerns a number of our online poker playing members have raised, specifically regarding the 15 month "blackout period" contained in the draft bills that have circulated in recent days.  The blackout period means that upon enactment of the proposed internet poker law there would be fifteen months where NO licensed Internet poker would be available to U.S. players.  In all likelihood, some of the web sites where you currently play would leave the market so they can go through the process of obtaining a U.S. license and then re-enter the market after the 15 month blackout period.  

Which I found pretty offensive.  After all, why does the PPA event exist if its job is just to pay lip service and then essentially let the chips fall where they may? 

I wrote them an email and it is my sincere hope that you write them one too… Here’s mine:

I received the most recent PPA update including Reid’s bill which would put a 15 month blackout on online poker in the United States.  From your email earlier today:

Frankly, the proposed blackout period is absurd and the PPA opposes it. And we have fought – and continue to fight – tooth and nail against it. But it is a reality. There will likely be a blackout period of some length included in any legislation that is passed, whether it is in this Congress or future Congresses. Our opponents have been throwing their weight around to get a lengthy blackout period included and, unfortunately, I fear they are winning.

That sure  sounds like an organization  that ISN’T really going to fight such a horrible and devastating clause especially for people currently involved with internet poker (especially AFFILIATES of advertisers of online cardrooms as well as those poker players who provide their sole income from internet poker).  For myself an affiliate AND a poker player a 100% blackout of the major sites like Full Tilt, PokerStars and UB.com would financially destroy me.

I hope the PPA does more than play LIP SERVICE to this and fight hard against blackout periods, etc. for internet poker sites.  Whatever goal the blackout period is attempting to achieve can probably be achieved through some other method so let’s get out there and put alternatives on the table.

Kelly Stanonik

http://www.lowlimitholdem.com

Licensing can happen without a blackout period and I have yet to hear one legitimate reason for a blackout period except to punish cardrooms that currently service the United States, even though we do not have a clear internet gambling law. That includes the UIGEA which doesn’t make it illegal for citizens to play and only passed because it was tagged to a critical bill.

My best advice is to join the Poker Players Alliance and then make your voice heard to them that you want legal licensed online poker here NOW without conditions or punishments.

www.theppa.org

Monday, December 06, 2010

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—October 27, 2010

October 27, 2010

Yeah... well here is where I'm at currently in the SNE quest:

Ever since the Full Tilt change and getting closer to the end of the year the 200nl tables have been MUCH tougher... the short stacking ones anyway.  I've looked up a lot of the regs and a fair amount seem to be taking some spills like me as well.  So what I've been doing is switching up playing some 100nl FR and 200nl FR.

100nl is so insanely easier, it's SO standard at 200nl u just hardly ever see anything but AK and QQ+ going all-in other than later position battles and people just don't stack off easy post flop at ALL if they call once, you're usually done.  it just feels like we're all passing money around and giving PokerStars their cut every hand and just hoping to be the one that runs good.

At 100nl people call shoves with T8o and stack off with mid pair ALL day.  I've been playing long sessions of 200nl in the morning when I'm more fresh than playing long sessions of 100nl barley paying attention while watching TV or doing whatever and I've been doing fine at it it's so much easier.
The problem is I let myself get a bit behind AND i have a 10 day vacation in November to where I really want to get 6,000 per day until my vacation so that in December I wont have over 100,000 vpps left to get and it will be easy.

At 200nl it's 600 vpps/hour, but at 100nl it averages 400 vpps/hour.

So obviously I'm not going to do 16 hours a day at 100nl, AND i feel like I've sold my soul because I was working on fullstacking for a while but then felt like I should stop and just grind vpps because I had gotten so far behind. Well now that 200nl has been just destroying me I think I'm going to try and go back to playing some 6max and work on my fullstacking again for part of the day since 6max gets more vpps and STILL end the day on long 100nl FR short stacking since I can do it with such little attention necessary.
This way I'll get a little better vpps, and actually feel like I'm trying to get better at a game style that I hope to ultimately play and not just spewing at 200nl at a game I don't want to keep playing forever.
Hopefully I can keep it up, so far I've gotten 6,000 vpps every single day I've been at my new place except Sundays, my one day off per week.

MellowYellow @ Low Limit Poker Forum

Supernova Elite Pursuit 2010—October 21, 2010

October 21, 2010

Uggh.

Well it's gotten pretty ugly the last few days.

I got my 6k vpps yesterday and am close to getting it for today, but unfortunately I've just been getting absolutely smashed.

Yesterday I was -$90 EV  but in cash I was -$950.  Then today I fire up and again instantly start running way under EV, I was up in EV as much as 400, though my cash was down several hundred during this time, then after the first 4.5 hours of never being worse than +200 ev,  the last hour and a half I literally lost every hand.  I might has well played face up.  My Ev plummeted to -400 and my cash tanked from -$200 to -$950.

So basically I'm looking to probably lose over 2k in 2 days.  And what is really frustrating about today is my EV totally blows.  The hands were just insane, if a card paired, they had it, they'd spike their set on the turn to beat my Kings etc.  And as always we always got it in AFTER they hit, it was just brutal.
I'm definitely feeling more stressed and confused about what to do now than I have in a while.  I'm not sure what suddenly changed today, but hopefully this running bad will stop, I'm -$1,600 below EV in the last 40 hours Sad